Somalia Likely To Experience A Static Role In Extra-Government Non-State Actor Activity Within The Next Five Years
Executive Summary:
Due to significantly high levels of government corruption and instability, it is likely that extra-governmental non-state actors (NSAs), such as al-Qaeda and the Islamic Courts Union, play a significant role within Somalia (represented by its score of 5 on the Extra-Government side of the Role Potential spectrum). This score demonstrates that the government lacks any significant control within the country and is unable to properly regulate the behavior of NSAs. However, within the next five years, it is likely that the role of NSAs will remain static and that unlawful NSAs will continue to have considerably more influence than lawful NSAs. This is primarily due to the terrorist and guerrilla organizations that are maintaining a large influence and presence within the country.
Somalia Likely To Experience A Static Role In Extra-Government Non-State Actor Activity Within The Next Five Years
Executive Summary:Due to significantly high levels of government corruption and instability, it is likely that extra-governmental non-state actors (NSAs), such as al-Qaeda and the Islamic Courts Union, play a significant role within Somalia (represented by its score of 5 on the Extra-Government side of the Role Potential spectrum). This
Analytic Confidence: 7
Source Reliability: 9
Discussion: